Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 57.31%. A draw had a probability of 21.78% and a win for Telstar had a probability of 20.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.41%) and 0-2 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%) , while for a Telstar win it was 2-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.