Eredivisie Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2026 7.00pm
Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

NAC Breda

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 11.15am
Sittard 1 - 1 NAC Breda
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Moussa Soumano

Ajax

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 8.00pm
Heracles 0 - 3 Ajax
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Mika Godts

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for NAC Breda has a probability of 31.39% and a draw has a probability of 25.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest NAC Breda win is 1-0 (7.47%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.04%).

Result

NAC Breda 31.39%
Draw 25.48%
Ajax 43.09%

Both Teams to Score: 

55.31%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.07%
Under 1.5 23.93%
Over 2.5 53.56%
Under 2.5 46.44%
Over 3.5 31.88%
Under 3.5 68.12%
Over 4.5 18.57%
Under 4.5 81.43%

First Half Winner

NAC Breda 30.54%
Draw 37.95%
Ajax 31.51%

Team To Score First

NAC Breda 48.35%
No Goal 7.05%
Ajax 44.6%

Corners

Over 8 61.89%
Equal 8 11.53%
Under 8 26.58%
Over 9 49.7%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 38.11%
Over 10.5 37.99%
Under 10.5 62.01%

NAC Breda Goals

Over 1.5 34.19%
Under 1.5 65.81%
Over 2.5 14.02%
Under 2.5 85.98%
Over 3.5 4.73%
Under 3.5 95.27%

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5 74.37%
Under 0.5 25.63%
Over 1.5 43.58%
Under 1.5 56.42%
Over 2.5 19.67%
Under 2.5 80.33%
Over 3.5 7.32%
Under 3.5 92.68%

Score analysis

NAC Breda 31.39%
Draw 25.48%
Ajax 43.11%
NAC Breda
1-0 @ 7.47%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 4.47%
3-1 @ 3.2%
3-2 @ 2.47%
3-0 @ 2.17%
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 31.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.04%
0-0 @ 7.05%
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 25.48%
Ajax
0-1 @ 9.39%
1-2 @ 8.79%
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 4.46%
0-3 @ 3.56%
2-3 @ 2.88%
Other @ 7.04%
Total : 43.11%

Head to Head

Eredivisie Eredivisie Europa Playoffs
Sep 27, 2025 3.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Eredivisie Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA
  • Kenneth Taylor 32' goal
  • Steven Berghuis 35' goal
  • Jorthy Mokio 69' yellowcard
  • Jorthy Mokio 76' goal
  • goal Leo Sauer 9'
  • yellowcard Roy Kortsmit 31'
  • yellowcard Clint Leemans 62'
  • yellowcard Leo Greiml 62'
  • yellowcard Max Balard 72'
  • yellowcard Kamal Sowah 87'
Eredivisie Gameweek 2
Aug 18, 2024 3.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion
  • Matthew Garbett 58' goal
  • Jan Van den Bergh 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jorrel Hato 63'
  • yellowcard Sivert Mannsverk 90'+7'
Eredivisie Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2019 11.15am
5
0
HT : 1 0
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
  • Dusan Tadic 38' goal
  • Kasper Dolberg 53' goal
  • Gervane Kastaneer 59' goal
  • Hakim Ziyech 65' yellowcard
  • Dusan Tadic 67' goal
  • Erik Palmer-Brown 71' goal
  • yellowcard Gianluca Nijholt 36'
  • yellowcard Dorian Dervite 38'
  • yellowcard Menno Koch 91'
Eredivisie Gameweek 13
Nov 24, 2018 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Rat Verlegh Stadion (Breda)
  • Daan Klomp 38' yellowcard
  • Arno Verschueren 41' yellowcard
  • Gianluca Nijholt 67' yellowcard
  • Mitchell te Vrede 71' yellowcard
  • goal Jethro Mashart 40' (OG)
  • goal Zakaria Labyad 54'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Labyad 67'
  • goal Klaas-Jan Huntelaar 93'
Eredivisie
Feb 4, 2018 3.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Amsterdam ArenA (Amsterdam)
  • Donny van de Beek 25' goal
  • David Neres 39' goal
  • Matthijs de Ligt 56' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 93' goal
  • goal Thierry Ambrose 6'
  • yellowcard Arno Verschueren 21'
  • yellowcard Bart Meijers 29'
  • yellowcard Thierry Ambrose 42'
  • redcard Bart Meijers 92'