/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fnaclog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
-
Pepijn Reulen
55'
-
Moussa Soumano
56'
-
André Ayew
56'
-
Brahim Ghalidi
56'
-
Pepijn Reulen
56'
-
Pepijn Reulen
57'
-
Brahim Ghalidi
57'
-
57'
-
Lewis Holtby
71'
-
Rio Hillen
82'
-
Juho Talvitie
82'
-
Oscar Gloukh
20'
-
Mika Godts
41'
-
56'
-
Sean Steur
56'
-
72'
-
Rayane Bounida
72'
-
Ko Itakura
72'
-
Oliver Edvardsen
82'
NAC Breda vs Ajax - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F10%2Fmika-godts-and-wout-weghorst-celebrate-a-goal-for-ajax-on-october-26-2025-defodi-images-6903728a052c1966864445.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 42.88%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-0 (7.51%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
Result
NAC Breda
31.47%
Draw
25.66%
Ajax
42.88%
Both Teams to Score:
55.22%
Goals
Over 1.5
76.03%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
23.97%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
53.44%
Under 2.5
46.56%
Over 3.5
31.76%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
68.24%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
18.49%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
81.51%
▲
(+0.02)
First Half Winner
NAC Breda
30.67%
Draw
38.02%
Ajax
31.31%
Team To Score First
NAC Breda
48.41%
▼
(-0.02)
No Goal
7.08%
Ajax
44.51%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
61.79%
Equal 8
11.55%
Under 8
26.66%
Over 9
49.6%
Equal 9
12.19%
Under 9
38.21%
Over 10.5
37.89%
Under 10.5
62.11%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 1.5
34.23%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
65.77%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
14.1%
Under 2.5
85.9%
Over 3.5
4.76%
Under 3.5
95.24%
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
74.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
25.69%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
43.4%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
56.6%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 2.5
19.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
80.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
7.25%
Under 3.5
92.75%
Score analysis
NAC Breda
31.47%
Draw
25.65%
Ajax
42.88%
NAC Breda
1-0
@
7.51%
2-1 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 31.47%
2-1 @ 7.19% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 4.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.21% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46%
3-0 @ 2.18% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 4.46%
Total : 31.47%
Draw
1-1
@
11.13%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.65%
0-0 @ 7.08%
2-2 @ 5.65% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 25.65%
Ajax
0-1
@
9.38%
1-2 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.95%
Total : 42.88%
1-2 @ 8.78% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.99%
1-3 @ 4.41% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.54% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.83% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 6.95%
Total : 42.88%
Bart Meijers
92'