Club Friendlies 1
Jul 10, 2026 5.00pm
Johan Cruijff Arena

Ajax vs AEK Larnaca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Club Friendlies 1
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 4.00pm
Ajax 1 - 3 Panathinaikos

AEK Larnaca

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ajax win with a probability of 56.5%. A draw has a probability of 22.22% and a win for AEK Larnaca has a probability of 21.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.46%) , while for a AEK Larnaca win it is 1-2 (5.89%).

Result

Ajax 56.5% (+6.05)
Draw 22.22% (-1.82)
AEK Larnaca 21.28% (-4.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.45% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.79% (+1.10)
Under 1.5 21.21% (-1.09)
Over 2.5 56.42% (+1.31)
Under 2.5 43.58% (-1.31)
Over 3.5 33.47% (+0.87)
Under 3.5 66.53% (-0.88)
Over 4.5 20.49% (+1.17)
Under 4.5 79.51% (-1.16)

First Half Winner

Ajax 41.42% (+3.40)
Draw 39.47% (-1.19)
AEK Larnaca 19.11% (-2.22)

Team To Score First

Ajax 63.07% (+3.61)
No Goal 5.6% (-0.59)
AEK Larnaca 31.33% (-3.04)

Corners

Over 8 57.65% (+3.37)
Equal 8 12.2% (+0.48)
Under 8 30.15% (-3.86)
Over 9 45.22% (+2.57)
Equal 9 12.43% (+0.82)
Under 9 42.35% (-3.37)
Over 10.5 33.69% (+1.61)
Under 10.5 66.31% (-1.61)

Ajax Goals

Over 1.5 54.35% (+4.78)
Under 1.5 45.65% (-4.78)
Over 2.5 27.73% (+3.65)
Under 2.5 72.27% (-3.65)
Over 3.5 11.29% (+2.05)
Under 3.5 88.71% (-2.06)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5 58.68% (-3.61)
Under 0.5 41.32% (+3.61)
Over 1.5 25.99% (-3.68)
Under 1.5 74.01% (+3.68)
Over 2.5 7.99% (-2.25)
Under 2.5 92.01% (+2.25)
Over 3.5 2.4% (-0.69)
Under 3.5 97.6% (+0.69)

Score analysis

Ajax 56.5%
Draw 22.23%
AEK Larnaca 21.29%
Ajax
2-1 @ 10.61% (+0.83)
1-0 @ 10.06% (+0.30)
2-0 @ 9.08% (+1.13)
3-1 @ 6.05% (+0.67)
3-0 @ 5.32% (+0.74)
3-2 @ 4.1% (+0.35)
Other @ 11.28% (+2.08)
Total : 56.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.46% (-0.65)
0-0 @ 5.6% (-0.59)
2-2 @ 5.19% (-0.38)
Other @ 0.01% (-0.03)
Total : 22.23%
AEK Larnaca
1-2 @ 5.89% (-0.71)
0-1 @ 5.57% (-0.77)
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.69)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.58)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.43)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.41)
Other @ 2.39% (-0.66)
Total : 21.29%