/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
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Steven Berghuis
39'
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Abdellah Ouazane
84'
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Petros Ioannou
82'
Ajax vs AEK Larnaca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.45%. A draw had a probability of 22.24% and a win for AEK Larnaca had a probability of 21.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%) , while for a AEK Larnaca win it was 1-2 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
Result
Ajax
56.45%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
22.24%
▲
(+0.02)
AEK Larnaca
21.31%
▲
(+0.03)
Both Teams to Score:
56.43%
▼
(-0.03)
Goals
Over 1.5
78.77%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
21.23%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
56.42%
Under 2.5
43.58%
Over 3.5
33.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
66.52%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 4.5
20.5%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 4.5
79.5%
▼
(-0.02)
First Half Winner
Ajax
41.48%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
39.44%
▼
(-0.04)
AEK Larnaca
19.08%
▼
(-0.04)
Team To Score First
Ajax
63.14%
▲
(+0.08)
No Goal
5.61%
▲
(+0.02)
AEK Larnaca
31.25%
▼
(-0.08)
Corners
Over 8
57.75%
▲
(+0.11)
Equal 8
12.19%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 8
30.07%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 9
45.31%
▲
(+0.10)
Equal 9
12.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 9
42.25%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 10.5
33.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 10.5
66.22%
▼
(-0.10)
Ajax Goals
Over 1.5
54.33%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
45.67%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 2.5
27.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
72.28%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
11.3%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
88.7%
▼
(-0.01)
AEK Larnaca Goals
Over 0.5
58.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 0.5
41.34%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
26.01%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
73.99%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 2.5
8.01%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 2.5
91.99%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
2.4%
Under 3.5
97.6%
Score analysis
Ajax
56.44%
Draw
22.25%
AEK Larnaca
21.31%
Ajax
2-1
@
10.59%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 56.44%
1-0 @ 10.05% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.32%
3-2 @ 4.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 11.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 56.44%
Draw
1-1
@
10.45%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.25%
0-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.25%
AEK Larnaca
1-2
@
5.89%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 21.31%
0-1 @ 5.57%
0-2 @ 2.83% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74%
0-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 21.31%