Club Friendlies 3
Jul 7, 2026 5.00pm
Stadio Toumbas

PAOK vs AEK Larnaca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

PAOK

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 1.30pm
PAOK 4 - 0 Westerlo

AEK Larnaca

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 4, 2026 3.00pm
Helmond 1 - 2 Larnaca

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a PAOK win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw has a probability of 26.64% and a win for AEK Larnaca has a probability of 21.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.68%) , while for a AEK Larnaca win it is 0-1 (6.61%).

Result

PAOK 52.03% (+0.11)
Draw 26.64% (+0.04)
AEK Larnaca 21.33% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.37% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 25.63% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 49.21% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 50.79% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 28.23% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.77% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 16.56% (+0.08)
Under 4.5 83.44% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

PAOK 37.14% (-0.02)
Draw 44.46% (+0.04)
AEK Larnaca 18.41% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

PAOK 59.57% (+0.18)
No Goal 7.85%
AEK Larnaca 32.58% (-0.18)

Corners

Over 8 56.61% (-0.97)
Equal 8 11.07% (+0.05)
Under 8 32.32% (+0.93)
Over 9 45.44% (-0.93)
Equal 9 11.17% (-0.05)
Under 9 43.39% (+0.97)
Over 10.5 35.04% (-0.83)
Under 10.5 64.96% (+0.82)

PAOK Goals

Over 1.5 48.5% (+0.15)
Under 1.5 51.5% (-0.15)
Over 2.5 23.05% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 76.95% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 9.21% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 90.79% (-0.06)

AEK Larnaca Goals

Over 0.5 57.62% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 42.38% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 23.84% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 76.16% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 7.42% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 92.58% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 2.02%
Under 3.5 97.98%

Score analysis

PAOK 52.02%
Draw 26.65%
AEK Larnaca 21.33%
PAOK
1-0 @ 11.17% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.28%
3-0 @ 5.04% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.83% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3% (+0.03)
Other @ 9.04% (+0.05)
Total : 52.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.68% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 4.98%
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 26.65%
AEK Larnaca
0-1 @ 6.61% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.19% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 1.87% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53%
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.85% (-0.02)
Total : 21.33%