Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 40.78%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.56%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest PAOK win was 1-0 (10.02%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.