Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 54.29%. A draw had a probability of 24.04% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.12%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%) , while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (5.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.