Conference League
Apr 16, 2026 8.00pm
OPAP Arena

AEK Athens vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

AEK Athens

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 5.45pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 AEK Athens

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 5.45pm
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 AEK Athens

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AEK Athens win with a probability of 59.53%. A draw has a probability of 20.73% and a win for Rayo Vallecano has a probability of 19.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a AEK Athens win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.7%) , while for a Rayo Vallecano win it is 0-1 (5.17%).

Result

AEK Athens 59.53%
Draw 20.73%
Rayo Vallecano 19.71%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.54%

Goals

Over 1.5 79.84%
Under 1.5 20.16%
Over 2.5 57.7%
Under 2.5 42.3%
Over 3.5 35.05%
Under 3.5 64.92%
Over 4.5 22.25%
Under 4.5 77.75%

First Half Winner

AEK Athens 44.89%
Draw 36.71%
Rayo Vallecano 18.4%

Team To Score First

AEK Athens 66.86%
No Goal 5.02%
Rayo Vallecano 28.12%

Corners

Over 8 54.26%
Equal 8 11.41%
Under 8 34.33%
Over 9 42.95%
Equal 9 11.31%
Under 9 45.74%
Over 10.5 32.61%
Under 10.5 67.39%

AEK Athens Goals

Over 1.5 57.3%
Under 1.5 42.7%
Over 2.5 31.16%
Under 2.5 68.84%
Over 3.5 13.9%
Under 3.5 86.1%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 54.84%
Under 0.5 45.16%
Over 1.5 23.85%
Under 1.5 76.15%
Over 2.5 7.96%
Under 2.5 92.04%
Over 3.5 2.39%
Under 3.5 97.61%

Score analysis

AEK Athens 59.54%
Draw 20.72%
Rayo Vallecano 19.7%
AEK Athens
1-0 @ 9.93%
2-1 @ 9.91%
2-0 @ 9.73%
3-0 @ 6.66%
3-1 @ 6.21%
3-2 @ 3.32%
Other @ 13.78%
Total : 59.54%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.7%
0-0 @ 5.02%
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 20.72%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 5.17%
1-2 @ 5.05%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 1.78%
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 19.7%

Head to Head

Conference League
Apr 9, 2026 5.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas
  • Ilias Akhomach 2' goal
  • Unai López 45'+2' goal
  • Pedro Díaz 55' yellowcard
  • Unai López 56' yellowcard
  • Alexandre Zurawski 56' yellowcard
  • Alfonso Espino 66' yellowcard
  • Isi Palazón 74' yellowcard
  • Sergio Camello 80' yellowcard
  • Óscar Valentín 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Răzvan Marin 46'
  • yellowcard Mijat Gacinovic 71'
  • yellowcard Zini 71'
  • yellowcard Dereck Kutesa 87'