Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 69.64%. A draw had a probability of 19.96% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 10.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.28%) and 3-0 (10.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%) , while for a Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood.