Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Dresden win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 28.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.