Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 44.18%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.