Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 44.61%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (7.88%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.