Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 25.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.