Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Kaiserslautern had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 (7.81%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.