2.Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Holstein Kiel
Jan 18, 2026 12.30pm
Holstein-Stadion
SC Paderborn

Holstein Kiel vs SC Paderborn - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 7.30pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 1 Dynamo Dresden
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
David Zec

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Dec 19, 2025 5.30pm
SC Paderborn 2 - 2 Darmstadt
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Laurin Curda

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 26.09% and a draw has a probability of 23.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.69%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 1-0 (6.84%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.19%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 26.09%
Draw 23.91%
SC Paderborn 50.03%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.29% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.02% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 22.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 53.98% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 46.02% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 31.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 68.5% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 18.29% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 4.5 81.71% ▼ (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 23.47%
Draw 35.48%
SC Paderborn 41.05%

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 36.86%
No Goal 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
SC Paderborn 57.12% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.92%
Equal 8 10.98%
Under 8 28.1%
Over 9 49.45%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 39.08%
Over 10.5 38.46%
Under 10.5 61.54%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 29.26% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 70.74% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 10.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 89.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.14% ▼ (-0.02)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 0.5 79.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 20.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 51.28% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 23.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 76.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 9.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 26.1%
Draw 23.91%
SC Paderborn 50.03%
Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 6.84% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.43%
2-0 @ 3.79%
3-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.58%
Other @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 26.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.02% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.18% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 23.91%
SC Paderborn
0-1 @ 10.16%
1-2 @ 9.69%
0-2 @ 8.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-3 @ 4.78%
2-3 @ 3.3%
Other @ 8.86%
Total : 50.03%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga Gameweek 1
SC Paderborn
Aug 2, 2025 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Holstein Kiel
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 22
SC Paderborn
Feb 17, 2024 12.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Benteler-Arena
Holstein Kiel
  • Laurin Curda 39' yellowcard
  • Adriano Grimaldi 54' yellowcard
  • Martin Ens 90'+1' redcard
  • Filip Bilbija 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Finn-Dominik Porath 16'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 33'
  • goal Marvin Schulz 52'
  • yellowcard Marvin Schulz 76'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 78'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Remberg 90'+7'
  • goal Niklas Niehoff 90'+10'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Holstein Kiel
Sep 2, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
SC Paderborn
  • Philipp Sander 19' yellowcard
  • Tom Rothe 31' goal
  • Marko Ivezic 41' yellowcard
  • Steven Skrzybski 61' goal
  • Shuto Machino 84' yellowcard
  • goal Robert Leipertz 12'
  • yellowcard Marcel Hoffmeier 26'
  • yellowcard Jannis Heuer 52'
  • yellowcard Mattes Hansen 80'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Holstein Kiel
Feb 25, 2023 12.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
SC Paderborn
  • Fabian Reese 66' goal
  • goal Maximilian Rohr 31'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 5
SC Paderborn
Aug 20, 2022 12.00pm
7
2
HT : 5 2
FT
Holstein Kiel
  • Florent Muslija 7' goal
  • Julian Justvan 13' goal
  • Raphael Obermair 25' goal
  • Felix Platte 29' goal
  • Felix Platte 38' goal
  • Marvin Pieringer 52' goal
  • Dennis Srbeny 80' goal
  • Jonas Carls 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benedikt Pichler 6'
  • goal Julian Korb 10'
  • yellowcard Philipp Sander 37'
  • yellowcard Patrick Erras 40'
  • goal Steven Skrzybski 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jann-Fiete Arp 66'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Holstein Kiel
Mar 4, 2022 5.30pm
3
4
HT : 1 1
FT
SC Paderborn
  • Jann-Fiete Arp 23' goal
  • Ahmet Arslan 30' yellowcard
  • Alexander Muhling 81' goal
  • Fin Bartels 85' yellowcard
  • Benedikt Pichler 88' goal
  • yellowcard Uwe Hunemeier 14'
  • goal Ron Schallenberg 19'
  • goal Maximilian Thalhammer 54'
  • yellowcard Marcel Mehlem 59'
  • goal Florent Muslija 74'
  • goal Jamilu Collins 76'

Form Data

Ferencvaros 0 - 0 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 2 - 1 Dynamo Dresden
Magdeburg 3 - 3 Holstein Kiel
Braunschweig 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Holstein Kiel 0 - 1 Hertha Berlin
SC Paderborn 3 - 2 Charleroi
SC Paderborn 2 - 2 Darmstadt
Karlsruher 0 - 4 SC Paderborn
SC Paderborn 1 - 2 Elversberg
Schalke 2 - 1 SC Paderborn
SC Paderborn 0 - 2 Hannover