2.Bundesliga
Mar 21, 2026 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Home Deluxe Arena
  • Mattes Hansen 46' yellowcard
  • Steffen Tigges 46' yellowcard
  • Steffen Tigges 66' goal
  • Steffen Tigges 85' goal
  • Sven Michel 86' yellowcard
  • Kennedy Okpala 87' yellowcard
  • Jonah Sticker 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Vincent Vermeij 32'
  • yellowcard Christoph Daferner 60'
  • yellowcard Luca Herrmann 72'
  • yellowcard Nils Fröling 72'
  • yellowcard Jakob Lemmer 72'
  • yellowcard Jakob Lemmer 73'
  • yellowcard Stefan Kutschke 87'

SC Paderborn vs Dynamo Dresden - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SC Paderborn

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 12.00pm
Arminia Bielefeld 2 - 2 SC Paderborn
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Laurin Curda

Dynamo Dresden

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2026 12.30pm
Dynamo Dresden 6 - 0 Preussen Munster
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Vincent Vermeij

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

SC Paderborn 50.3% (-0.07)
Draw 24.56% (+0.03)
Dynamo Dresden 25.14% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.83% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78%
Under 1.5 22%
Over 2.5 55.97% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 43.99%
Over 3.5 34.2%
Under 3.5 65.8%
Over 4.5 20.52% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 79.48% (+0.03)

First Half Winner

SC Paderborn 36.35%
Draw 38.48%
Dynamo Dresden 25.17%

Team To Score First

SC Paderborn 52.36%
No Goal 6.12%
Dynamo Dresden 41.52%

Corners

Over 8 70.73% (+0.05)
Equal 8 9.51% (+0.01)
Under 8 19.76% (-0.06)
Over 9 59.96% (+0.04)
Equal 9 10.76% (+0.01)
Under 9 29.27% (-0.06)
Over 10.5 48.8% (+0.01)
Under 10.5 51.2% (-0.01)

SC Paderborn Goals

Over 1.5 50.33% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 49.67% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 25.05% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 74.95% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 10.08% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 89.92% (+0.02)

Dynamo Dresden Goals

Over 0.5 61.93% (+0.08)
Under 0.5 38.07% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 30.06% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 69.94% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 11.2%
Under 2.5 88.8%
Over 3.5 3.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.34% (-0.01)

Score analysis

SC Paderborn 50.3%
Draw 24.56%
Dynamo Dresden 25.14%
SC Paderborn
1-0 @ 9.76% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.82% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42%
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.45%
Other @ 9.74% (-0.02)
Total : 50.3%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.85% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 6.12%
2-2 @ 5.78% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 24.56%
Dynamo Dresden
1-2 @ 6.27%
0-1 @ 6.12% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 3.36% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.2%
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.32% (+0.01)
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Oct 25, 2025 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2022 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Robin Yalcin 6' yellowcard
  • Uwe Hunemeier 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Akoto 48'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 5
Aug 29, 2021 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Philipp Hosiner 53' yellowcard
  • Michael Sollbauer 61' yellowcard
  • Robin Becker 90'+1' redcard
  • goal Sven Michel 8'
  • goal Kai Proger 24'
  • goal Kai Proger 26'
  • yellowcard Jasper van der Werff 29'
  • yellowcard Marcel Mehlem 32'
DFB-Pokal
Aug 6, 2021 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion (Dresden)
  • Yannick Stark 12' yellowcard
  • Tim Knipping 54' goal
  • Julius Kade 88' goal
  • yellowcard Maximilian Thalhammer 40'
  • yellowcard Mirko Schuster 43'
  • yellowcard Jamilu Collins 47'
  • goal Sven Michel 61'
  • yellowcard Uwe Hunemeier 65'
  • yellowcard Ron Schallenberg 78'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 19, 2019 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT DDV-Stadion (Dresden)
  • Barıs Atik 18' goal
  • Barıs Atik 37' goal
  • Barıs Atik 63' goal
  • goal Philipp Klement 10'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Dec 15, 2018 12.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Benteler-Arena (Paderborn)
  • Christian Strohdiek 53' yellowcard
  • Ben Zolinski 54' goal
  • Jamilu Collins 73' yellowcard
  • Sven Michel 77' goal
  • Phillipp Klement 90' goal
  • yellowcard Patrick Ebert 84'