Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 50.3%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-2 (6.27%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.