Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 41.07%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 (8.06%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.