Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-0 (8.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.