Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 27% and a draw had a probability of 23.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.