Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 42.96%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.