2.Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2026 5.30pm
SchücoArena

Arminia Bielefeld vs Holstein Kiel - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arminia Bielefeld

All competitions
Last game
Jan 16, 2026 5.30pm
Dusseldorf 1 - 0 Arminia Bielefeld
Goals scored
27
Top scorer
Stefano Russo

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2025 7.30pm
Holstein Kiel 2 - 1 Dynamo Dresden
Goals scored
20
Top scorer
David Zec

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 45.84%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 29.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arminia Bielefeld win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 0-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).

Result

Arminia Bielefeld 45.84% (+0.06)
Draw 24.91% (+0.25)
Holstein Kiel 29.25% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.94% (-0.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.74% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 22.26% (+0.64)
Over 2.5 54.76% (-0.93)
Under 2.5 45.24% (+0.93)
Over 3.5 33.18% (-0.85)
Under 3.5 66.82% (+0.84)
Over 4.5 19.04% (-0.54)
Under 4.5 80.96% (+0.53)

First Half Winner

Arminia Bielefeld 37.53% (+0.56)
Draw 39.42% (-0.37)
Holstein Kiel 23.04% (-0.20)

Team To Score First

Arminia Bielefeld 56.81% (-0.12)
No Goal 6.03% (+0.29)
Holstein Kiel 37.16% (-0.17)

Corners

Over 8 63.55% (-0.41)
Equal 8 10.48% (+0.05)
Under 8 25.97% (+0.36)
Over 9 52.38% (-0.40)
Equal 9 11.17%
Under 9 36.45% (+0.41)
Over 10.5 41.43% (-0.37)
Under 10.5 58.57% (+0.37)

Arminia Bielefeld Goals

Over 1.5 46.65% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 53.35% (+0.45)
Over 2.5 21.89% (-0.31)
Under 2.5 78.11% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 8.65% (-0.13)
Under 3.5 91.35% (+0.13)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5 65.46% (-0.53)
Under 0.5 34.54% (+0.52)
Over 1.5 32.71% (-0.68)
Under 1.5 67.29% (+0.68)
Over 2.5 12.41% (-0.46)
Under 2.5 87.59% (+0.47)
Over 3.5 3.81% (-0.21)
Under 3.5 96.19% (+0.21)

Score analysis

Arminia Bielefeld 45.83%
Draw 24.9%
Holstein Kiel 29.25%
Arminia Bielefeld
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.06)
1-0 @ 9.07% (+0.24)
2-0 @ 7.32% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 5.15% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.10)
Other @ 8.43% (-0.14)
Total : 45.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.36% (+0.14)
0-0 @ 6.03% (+0.29)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.16)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.9%
Holstein Kiel
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.93% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.32% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.13)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.59% (-0.21)
Total : 29.25%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Aug 10, 2025 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 12.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Steven Skrzybski 32' goal
  • Holmbert Fridjonsson 67' goal
  • goal Frederik Jakel 11'
  • goal Robin Hack 29'
  • goal Masaya Okugawa 55'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Sep 17, 2022 12.00pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Robin Hack 1' goal
  • Janni-Luca Serra 36' goal
  • Masaya Okugawa 48' goal
  • Bryan Lasme 85' goal
  • goal Alexander Muhling 59'
  • goal Fin Bartels 68'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 29
May 30, 2020 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Alexander Muhling 51' goal
  • Jonas Meffert 64' yellowcard
  • goal Jonathan Clauss 23'
  • yellowcard Manuel Prietl 41'
  • goal Sven Schipplock 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Sven Schipplock 90'+3'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 12
Nov 3, 2019 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT SchücoArena (Bielefeld)
  • Fabian Klos 33' goal
  • Stephan Salger 72' yellowcard
  • Andreas Voglsammer 73' goal
  • Nils Seufert 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonas Meffert 64'
  • goal Emmanuel Iyoha 68'
  • yellowcard Salih Ozcan 77'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 34
May 19, 2019 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT SchücoArena (Bielefeld)
  • Jonathan Clauss 71' goal
  • Jonathan Clauss 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Franck Evina 73'