Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 41.67%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.66%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 (8.01%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.