Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kaiserslautern win with a probability of 46.95%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kaiserslautern win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.73%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.