Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 0-1 (7.64%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.