Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.