2.Bundesliga
Feb 15, 2026 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • David Zec 55' yellowcard
  • Aldin Jakupović 58' yellowcard
  • Marcus Müller 84' yellowcard
  • Niklas Niehoff 84' yellowcard
  • goal Kenan Karaman 16'
  • goal Hasan Kuruçay 29'
  • yellowcard Mertcan Ayhan 46'
  • yellowcard Moussa Sylla 79'
  • yellowcard Felipe Sánchez 84'
  • yellowcard Janik Bachmann 85'

Holstein Kiel vs Schalke 04 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2026 12.30pm
Hannover 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Steven Skrzybski

Schalke 04

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2026 12.00pm
Schalke 2 - 2 Dynamo Dresden
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Kenan Karaman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-0 (8.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Holstein Kiel 34.84% (+0.15)
Draw 24.67% (-0.02)
Schalke 04 40.52% (-0.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.23% (-0.06)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.56% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.44% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 52.26% (-0.09)
Under 2.5 47.74% (+0.09)
Over 3.5 30.4% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 69.6% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.87% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.13% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 24.01% (-0.05)
Draw 40.48% (-0.03)
Schalke 04 35.51% (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 37.57% (-0.18)
No Goal 6.6% (-0.03)
Schalke 04 55.83% (+0.19)

Corners

Over 8 57.78% (-0.25)
Equal 8 11.73% (-0.04)
Under 8 30.49% (+0.29)
Over 9 45.81% (-0.19)
Equal 9 11.97% (-0.06)
Under 9 42.22% (+0.25)
Over 10.5 34.65% (-0.11)
Under 10.5 65.35% (+0.11)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 36.03% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 63.97% (-0.10)
Over 2.5 14.75% (+0.11)
Under 2.5 85.25% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 4.97% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.03% (-0.02)

Schalke 04 Goals

Over 0.5 72.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 27.72% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 40.52% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.48% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.97% (-0.17)
Under 2.5 83.03% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 5.56% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.44% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 34.84%
Draw 24.67%
Schalke 04 40.53%
Holstein Kiel
1-0 @ 8.38% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 5.49% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.64% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 2.42%
Other @ 4.87% (+0.03)
Total : 34.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.22% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.6% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.67%
3-3 @ 1.08% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.67%
Schalke 04
0-1 @ 9.5% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 8.66%
0-2 @ 6.58% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 4.23% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.38% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.46% (-0.04)
Total : 40.53%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Sep 13, 2025 12.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 12.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Steven Skrzybski 55' goal
  • Joshua Mees 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Derry Murkin 40'
  • yellowcard Tobias Mohr 79'
  • yellowcard Yusuf Kabadayi 90'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Aug 25, 2023 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT VELTINS-Arena
  • Thomas Ouwejan 17' yellowcard
  • Ron Schallenberg 39' redcard
  • goal Benedikt Pichler 15'
  • yellowcard Philipp Sander 43'
  • goal Shuto Machino 59'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 16, 2022 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Simon Terodde 73' goal
  • goal Alexander Muhling 67'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 1, 2021 12.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Phil Neumann 5' yellowcard
  • Patrick Erras 14' yellowcard
  • Alexander Muhling 70' yellowcard
  • goal Simon Terodde 2'
  • goal Simon Terodde 21'
  • yellowcard Florian Flick 25'
  • yellowcard Blendi Idrizi 48'
  • goal Marius Bulter 68'
  • yellowcard Marvin Pieringer 85'