Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 1-0 (8.57%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.