Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (7.39%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.