Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 31.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.