Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 49.98%. A draw had a probability of 25.33% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%) , while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.