Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Karlsruher SC win with a probability of 39.08%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 34.81% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Karlsruher SC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 (8.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.