Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.11% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.06%) and 2-0 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.