2.Bundesliga Gameweek 24
Feb 28, 2026 12.00pm
Holstein-Stadion

Holstein Kiel vs Elversberg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.00pm
Karlsruher 3 - 1 Holstein Kiel
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Steven Skrzybski

Elversberg

All competitions
Last game
Feb 21, 2026 12.00pm
Elversberg 3 - 1 Braunschweig
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Lukas Petkov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.48%. A win for Holstein Kiel has a probability of 28.36% and a draw has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win is 2-1 (6.63%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.11%).

Result

Holstein Kiel 28.36% (+0.04)
Draw 23.16%
Elversberg 48.48% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.87% (+0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.15% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 18.85% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 60.12% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 39.88% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 37.48% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 62.55% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 22.54% (+0.06)
Under 4.5 77.46% (-0.06)

First Half Winner

Holstein Kiel 20.93% (-0.04)
Draw 37.17% (-0.04)
Elversberg 41.9% (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Holstein Kiel 35.72% (-0.04)
No Goal 4.92% (+0.02)
Elversberg 59.36% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 64.53%
Equal 8 10.66%
Under 8 24.81%
Over 9 53.07%
Equal 9 11.46%
Under 9 35.47%
Over 10.5 41.78%
Under 10.5 58.22%

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 1.5 34.18% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 65.82% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 13.65% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 86.35% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 4.39% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.61% (-0.04)

Elversberg Goals

Over 0.5 79.21% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.79% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 51.49% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 48.51% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 25.75% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 74.25% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 10.29% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 89.71% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Holstein Kiel 28.38%
Draw 23.16%
Elversberg 48.49%
Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.63% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.15% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 3.91% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.17%
3-2 @ 2.68% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 1.75%
Other @ 4.09% (+0.02)
Total : 28.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.11% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 4.92% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.66%
Other @ 0.3% (+0.02)
Total : 23.16%
Elversberg
1-2 @ 9.91% (+0.03)
0-1 @ 7.81% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.98% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.62% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.36% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.82% (-0.02)
Other @ 9.99% (+0.02)
Total : 48.49%

Head to Head

2.Bundesliga
Sep 27, 2025 12.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 12.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT URSAPHARM-Arena an der Kaiserlinde
  • Luca Durholtz 46' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Tom Rothe 30'
  • goal Shuto Machino 39'
  • goal Philipp Sander 49'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 9
Oct 8, 2023 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Holstein-Stadion
  • Timo Becker 44' goal
  • Finn-Dominik Porath 71' yellowcard
  • goal Luca Schnellbacher 70'
  • yellowcard Paul Stock 90'+1'