Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.84%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 (6.62%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.