Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 24.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.44%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (6.5%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.