Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arminia Bielefeld win with a probability of 43.65%. A win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest SV Darmstadt 98 win was 0-1 (8.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.