Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 33.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 2-1 (7.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.