Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Magdeburg win with a probability of 42.7%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 23.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Magdeburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.