Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Magdeburg had a probability of 29.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Magdeburg win was 1-2 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.