Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.92% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 23.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%) , while for a Arminia Bielefeld win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.