Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SV Darmstadt 98 win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a SV Darmstadt 98 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 0-1 (8.18%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.