Premier League Gameweek 38
May 24, 2026 4.00pm
Selhurst Park

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Crystal Palace

All competitions
Last game
May 17, 2026 3.00pm
Brentford 2 - 2 Crystal Palace
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Jean-Philippe Mateta

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
May 18, 2026 8.00pm
Arsenal 1 - 0 Burnley
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Viktor Gyokeres

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw has a probability of 26.97% and a win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 20%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it is 1-0 (7.1%).

Result

Crystal Palace 20% (+0.04)
Draw 26.97%
Arsenal 53.02% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.26%

Goals

Over 1.5 68.52% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 31.48% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 43.31%
Under 2.5 56.69%
Over 3.5 23.09%
Under 3.5 76.91%
Over 4.5 12.46%
Under 4.5 87.54%

First Half Winner

Crystal Palace 20.86%
Draw 41.78%
Arsenal 37.35%

Team To Score First

Crystal Palace 34.44%
No Goal 10.18%
Arsenal 55.38%

Corners

Over 8 52.76%
Equal 8 11.96%
Under 8 35.28%
Over 9 41.03%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 47.24%
Over 10.5 30.49%
Under 10.5 69.51%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 1.5 20.31% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 79.69% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 5.82%
Under 2.5 94.18%
Over 3.5 1.52%
Under 3.5 98.48%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 77.4% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.6% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 45.14% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 54.86% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 19.93% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 80.07% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.93%
Under 3.5 93.07%

Score analysis

Crystal Palace 19.99%
Draw 26.98%
Arsenal 53.02%
Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 7.1% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.97% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 3.06% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.36%
Total : 19.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 10.18%
2-2 @ 4.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.98%
Arsenal
0-1 @ 14.19% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.53% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.33%
0-3 @ 5.02% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.94%
2-3 @ 2.24%
Other @ 6.77%
Total : 53.02%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Dec 23, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
ET
  • Maxence Lacroix 80' goal
  • Kepa Arrizabalaga 89' yellowcard
  • goal Marc Guehi 90'+5'
Premier League
Oct 26, 2025 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 34
Apr 23, 2025 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Jakub Kiwior 3' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 42' goal
  • Declan Rice 45'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Eberechi Eze 27'
  • yellowcard Justin Devenny 47'
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 83'
Premier League Gameweek 17
Dec 21, 2024 5.30pm
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT Selhurst Park
  • Ismaila Sarr 11' goal
  • Marc Guehi 64' yellowcard
  • Nathaniel Clyne 79' yellowcard
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 6'
  • goal Gabriel Jesus 14'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 31'
  • yellowcard Jurrien Maduro 36'
  • goal Kai Havertz 38'
  • goal Gabriel Martinelli 60'
  • goal Declan Rice 84'
EFL Cup
Dec 18, 2024 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 1
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Gabriel Jesus 54' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 73' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 81' goal
  • Myles Lewis-Skelly 90' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Philippe Mateta 4'
  • yellowcard Caleb Kporha 23'
  • goal Eddie Nketiah 85'
Premier League Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2024 12.30pm
5
0
HT : 2 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 11' goal
  • Dean Henderson 37' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 59' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 90'+4' goal
  • Gabriel Martinelli 90'+5' goal

Build-up

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