Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 53.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.97% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 19.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.53%) and 1-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%) , while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (7.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.