Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 27.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 0-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.