Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2026 8.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Arsenal - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
Aug 23, 2026 2.00pm
Brighton 4 - 0 Aston Villa

Arsenal

All competitions
Last game
Aug 21, 2026 8.00pm
Arsenal 3 - 0 Coventry
Goals scored
3
Top scorer
Kai Havertz

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win with a probability of 48.18%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 26.96% and a draw has a probability of 24.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 2-1 (6.54%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.81%).

Result

Aston Villa 26.96%
Draw 24.82%
Arsenal 48.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.83%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.43%
Under 1.5 19.57%
Over 2.5 58.83%
Under 2.5 41.17%
Over 3.5 37.62%
Under 3.5 62.38%
Over 4.5 23.02%
Under 4.5 76.98%

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 26.31%
Draw 39.67%
Arsenal 34.02%

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 45.84%
No Goal 5.55%
Arsenal 48.61%

Corners

Over 8 55.49%
Equal 8 11.6%
Under 8 32.92%
Over 9 43.9%
Equal 9 11.59%
Under 9 44.51%
Over 10.5 33.24%
Under 10.5 66.76%

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 33.06%
Under 1.5 66.94%
Over 2.5 12.72%
Under 2.5 87.28%
Over 3.5 4.1%
Under 3.5 95.9%

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 79.38%
Under 0.5 20.62%
Over 1.5 51.1%
Under 1.5 48.9%
Over 2.5 26.11%
Under 2.5 73.89%
Over 3.5 11.63%
Under 3.5 88.37%

Score analysis

Aston Villa 26.96%
Draw 24.82%
Arsenal 48.18%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 6.54%
1-0 @ 5.9%
2-0 @ 3.71%
3-1 @ 2.85%
3-2 @ 2.54%
3-0 @ 1.67%
Other @ 3.75%
Total : 26.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.81%
2-2 @ 6.55%
0-0 @ 5.55%
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 24.82%
Arsenal
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-1 @ 8.08%
0-2 @ 7.08%
1-3 @ 5.19%
0-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.54%
Other @ 11.28%
Total : 48.18%

Head to Head

Premier League
Dec 30, 2025 8.15pm
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Mikel Merino 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 48' goal
  • Martin Zubimendi 52' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 69' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 78' goal
  • Gabriel Jesus 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 81'
  • yellowcard Lamare Bogarde 82'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 90'+7'
Premier League
Dec 6, 2025 12.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matty Cash 36' goal
  • Emiliano Buendia 90'+5' goal
  • goal Leandro Trossard 52'
  • yellowcard Riccardo Calafiori 72'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 74'
  • yellowcard Bukayo Saka 75'
Premier League Gameweek 22
Jan 18, 2025 5.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Mikel Arteta 30' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Martinelli 35' goal
  • Kai Havertz 55' goal
  • Leandro Trossard 67' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 20'
  • goal Youri Tielemans 60'
  • yellowcard Unai Emery 63'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 68'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 78'
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 90'+5'
Premier League Gameweek 2
Aug 24, 2024 5.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Villa Park
  • Amadou Onana 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Gabriel Magalhaes 57'
  • goal Leandro Trossard 67'
  • goal Thomas Partey 77'
  • yellowcard Martin Odegaard 89'
Premier League Gameweek 33
Apr 14, 2024 4.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Emirates Stadium
  • Ben White 36' yellowcard
  • Gabriel Magalhaes 45' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 63' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 14'
  • goal Leon Bailey 84'
  • goal Ollie Watkins 87'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Dec 9, 2023 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Villa Park
  • John McGinn 7' goal
  • Lucas Digne 53' yellowcard
  • Douglas Luiz 62' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Carlos 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Zinchenko 28'
  • yellowcard Declan Rice 77'