UEFA Super Cup
Aug 12, 2026 8.00pm
Red Bull Arena

Paris Saint-Germain vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 54.15%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 24.7% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (6.97%) and 1-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 1-2 (6.15%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.07%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 54.15% (+0.45)
Draw 21.1% (-0.65)
Aston Villa 24.7% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.9% (+2.96)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.67% (+2.15)
Under 1.5 14.33% (-2.14)
Over 2.5 66.7% (+3.61)
Under 2.5 33.3% (-3.61)
Over 3.5 44.9% (+3.95)
Under 3.5 55.1% (-3.95)
Over 4.5 29.17% (+3.30)
Under 4.5 70.83% (-3.30)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 59.14% (+2.36)
Under 1.5 40.86% (-2.36)
Over 2.5 33.44% (+2.57)
Under 2.5 66.56% (-2.57)
Over 3.5 15.6% (+1.83)
Under 3.5 84.4% (-1.83)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 63% (+0.65)
Under 0.5 37% (-0.65)
Over 1.5 33.58% (+1.73)
Under 1.5 66.42% (-1.74)
Over 2.5 13.66% (+1.25)
Under 2.5 86.34% (-1.25)
Over 3.5 4.65% (+0.61)
Under 3.5 95.35% (-0.61)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 54.15%
Draw 21.1%
Aston Villa 24.69%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.15)
2-0 @ 6.97% (-0.63)
1-0 @ 6.7% (-1.00)
3-1 @ 6.55% (+0.23)
3-0 @ 4.85% (-0.17)
3-2 @ 4.43% (+0.42)
Other @ 15.2% (+1.75)
Total : 54.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.63)
2-2 @ 6.4% (+0.30)
0-0 @ 3.22% (-0.67)
3-3 @ 2.01% (+0.27)
Other @ 0.4% (+0.09)
Total : 21.1%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 4.35% (-0.56)
0-2 @ 2.94% (-0.19)
2-3 @ 2.88% (+0.26)
1-3 @ 2.78% (+0.13)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.02)
Other @ 4.25% (+0.52)
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head

Champions League
Apr 15, 2025 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Youri Tielemans 34' goal
  • John McGinn 42' yellowcard
  • John McGinn 55' goal
  • Ezri Konsa 57' goal
  • goal Achraf Hakimi 11'
  • goal Nuno Mendes 27'
Champions League
Apr 9, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Desire Doue 39' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 49' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Matty Cash 17'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 35'