Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 4.00pm
PSG 2 - 2 Lorient
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Brest

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 4 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.67%. A draw has a probability of 16.07% and a win for Brest has a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.99%) and 3-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.76%) , while for a Brest win it is 0-1 (2.81%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 74.67% (+0.22)
Draw 16.07% (-0.06)
Brest 9.27% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.08% (-0.39)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.4% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 17.6% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 63.63% (-0.26)
Under 2.5 36.37% (+0.26)
Over 3.5 42.48% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 57.52% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 31.73% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 68.27% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 59.83% (+0.05)
Draw 30% (-0.06)
Brest 10.17% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 74.3% (-0.16)
No Goal 4.8% (+0.09)
Brest 20.9% (+0.08)

Corners

Over 8 67.39% (+0.24)
Equal 8 10.64% (-0.01)
Under 8 21.97% (-0.22)
Over 9 55.6% (+0.21)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.01)
Under 9 32.61% (-0.24)
Over 10.5 43.74% (+0.17)
Under 10.5 56.26% (-0.17)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 70.17% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 29.83% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 46.34% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 53.66% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 26.31% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 73.69% (+0.04)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 38.54% (-0.43)
Under 0.5 61.46% (+0.43)
Over 1.5 13.72% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 86.28% (+0.22)
Over 2.5 4.11% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 95.89% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 0.98%
Under 3.5 99.02%

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 74.65%
Draw 16.08%
Brest 9.27%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-0 @ 11.12% (+0.14)
1-0 @ 9.99% (+0.17)
3-0 @ 9.52% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 8.47% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.03)
Other @ 26.03% (-0.04)
Total : 74.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.76% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 4.8% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 16.08%
Brest
0-1 @ 2.81% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 2.72% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 9.27%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 25, 2025 4.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Feb 19, 2025 8.00pm
7
0
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Bradley Barcola 20' goal
  • Khvicha Kvaratskhelia 39' goal
  • Vitinha 59' goal
  • Desire Doue 64' goal
  • Nuno Mendes 69' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 76' goal
  • Senny Mayulu 86' goal
  • yellowcard Massadio Haidara 67'
  • yellowcard Julien Le Cardinal 80'
Champions League
Feb 11, 2025 5.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade du Roudourou
  • Brendan Chardonnet 74' yellowcard
  • goal Vitinha 21'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 45'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 66'
  • yellowcard Bradley Barcola 70'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 1, 2025 4.00pm
2
5
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Ble
  • Abdallah Sima 36' yellowcard
  • Romain Del Castillo 50' goal
  • Ludovic Ajorque 71' goal
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 29'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 57'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 62'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 89'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 90'+7'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Lucas Beraldo 26' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 28' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembele 42' goal
  • Fabian Ruiz 73' goal
  • Ousmane Dembele 74' goal
  • goal Romain Del Castillo 29'
  • yellowcard Mahdi Camara 39'
  • yellowcard Ludovic Ajorque 49'
  • yellowcard Brendan Chardonnet 59'
Coupe de France
Feb 7, 2024 8.10pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Kylian Mbappe 34' goal
  • Danilo Pereira 37' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Magnetti 14'
  • yellowcard Lilian Brassier 60'
  • goal Steve Mounie 65'
  • redcard Lilian Brassier 69'