Ligue 1
May 3, 2026 4.15pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Rudy Matondo 13' goal
  • Willem Geubbels 20' goal
  • Luca Koleosho 65' yellowcard
  • Maxime Lopez 65' yellowcard
  • Rudy Matondo 67' goal
  • Vincent Marchetti 77' yellowcard
  • Ciro Immobile 77' yellowcard
  • Tuomas Ollila 85' yellowcard
  • Luca Koleosho 89' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Dina Ebimbe 60'
  • yellowcard Hamidou Makalou 60'
  • yellowcard Mama Baldé 70'
  • yellowcard Kamory Doumbia 70'
  • yellowcard Kamory Doumbia 71'
  • yellowcard Mama Baldé 71'
  • yellowcard Pathé Mboup 83'

Paris FC vs Brest - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 0 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Brest

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.45pm
Brest 3 - 3 Lens
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ludovic Ajorque

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 47.81%. A win for Brest had a probability of 26.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (7.14%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%).

Result

Paris FC 47.81% (-0.26)
Draw 25.73% (+0.06)
Brest 26.46% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.04% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.4% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 24.6% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.18% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 48.82% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 28.98% (-0.08)
Under 3.5 71.02% (+0.07)
Over 4.5 16.05% (-0.08)
Under 4.5 83.95% (+0.08)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 34.71%
Draw 41.76%
Brest 23.53%

Team To Score First

Paris FC 53.33% (-0.02)
No Goal 6.94% (+0.03)
Brest 39.73% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 63.77%
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 24.78%
Over 9 51.44%
Equal 9 12.32%
Under 9 36.23%
Over 10.5 39.42%
Under 10.5 60.58%

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 46.11% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 53.89% (+0.24)
Over 2.5 20.87% (-0.19)
Under 2.5 79.13% (+0.19)
Over 3.5 7.64% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 92.36% (+0.10)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5 62.52% (+0.21)
Under 0.5 37.48% (-0.21)
Over 1.5 28.81% (+0.17)
Under 1.5 71.19% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 9.91% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 90.09% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 2.7% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 97.3% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Paris FC 47.81%
Draw 25.73%
Brest 26.45%
Paris FC
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.3% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.45% (-0.10)
Total : 47.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.99% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 6.94% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 5.42% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 25.73%
Brest
0-1 @ 7.14% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 6.83% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 3.95% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.43% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.01% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.51% (+0.03)
Total : 26.45%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 14, 2025 4.15pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2019 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Sébastien-Charléty (Paris)
  • Lalaina Nomenjanahary 53' yellowcard
  • Romain Perraud 76' yellowcard
  • goal Brendan Chardonnet 8'
  • yellowcard Julien Faussurier 32'
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Diallo 45'
  • yellowcard Quentin Bernard 75'
Ligue 2
Jan 17, 2019 12.00am
Stade Sébastien-Charléty (Paris)
Ligue 2 Gameweek 3
Aug 10, 2018 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Francis-Le Blé (Brest)
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 34' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Charbonnier 55' goal
  • goal Yannick Mamilonne 45'
Ligue 2
Feb 24, 2018 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Sébastien-Charléty (Paris)
  • yellowcard Johan Gastien 77'
  • goal Habibou Diallo 90'
Ligue 2
Sep 22, 2017 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jean-Charles Castelletto 58' goal
  • Ibrahima Sissoko 90' yellowcard
  • goal Dylan Saint-Louis 17'
  • yellowcard Valentin Lavigne 57'
  • yellowcard Thomas Delaine 65'
  • yellowcard Lalaina Nomenjanahary 76'