Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Apr 26, 2026 4.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Alimami Gory 46' yellowcard
  • Rudy Matondo 46' yellowcard
  • Ilan Kebbal 68' yellowcard
  • Luca Koleosho 69' yellowcard
  • Ilan Kebbal 69' yellowcard
  • Ilan Kebbal 74' yellowcard
  • Hamari Traoré 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matías Fernández-Pardo 26'
  • yellowcard Ethan Mbappé 78'
  • yellowcard Olivier Giroud 83'
  • yellowcard Gaëtan Perrin 83'
  • yellowcard Gaëtan Perrin 84'

Paris FC vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 4.15pm
Metz 1 - 3 Paris FC
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 8.05pm
Lille 0 - 0 Nice
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Matías Fernández-Pardo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 2-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result

Paris FC 33.83%
Draw 24.78% (-0.04)
Lille 41.39% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.58% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.45% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 19.55% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 58.08% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 41.92% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 34.9% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 65.1% (-0.17)
Over 4.5 20.56% (+0.14)
Under 4.5 79.44% (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 27.22%
Draw 40.64%
Lille 32.14%

Team To Score First

Paris FC 43.02% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.3% (-0.04)
Lille 51.68% (+0.03)

Corners

Over 8 53.77%
Equal 8 12.08%
Under 8 34.15%
Over 9 41.84%
Equal 9 11.93%
Under 9 46.23%
Over 10.5 31.05%
Under 10.5 68.95%

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 38.33% (+0.09)
Under 1.5 61.67% (-0.09)
Over 2.5 16.11% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.89% (-0.10)
Over 3.5 5.35% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.65% (-0.04)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 75.46% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 24.54% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 44.93% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 55.07% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 20.38% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 79.62% (-0.09)
Over 3.5 7.46% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 92.54% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Paris FC 33.83%
Draw 24.79%
Lille 41.4%
Paris FC
2-1 @ 7.92%
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 4.72% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 3.73% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (+0.03)
3-0 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.13% (+0.05)
Total : 33.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.52% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 6.14% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.61% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.79%
Lille
1-2 @ 9.37%
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 6.12% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.44% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.39%
Other @ 7.24% (+0.05)
Total : 41.4%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 23, 2025 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 0 0
FT