Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 41.39%. A win for Paris FC had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Paris FC win was 2-1 (7.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.