Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Lille had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.16%) and 0-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Lille win was 2-1 (8.3%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.