Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 8.05pm
Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille vs Lens - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.15pm
Marseille 1 - 2 Lille
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Matías Fernández-Pardo

Lens

All competitions
Last game
Mar 20, 2026 7.45pm
Lens 5 - 1 Angers
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Wesley Said

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Lille has a probability of 36.61% and a draw has a probability of 25.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.3%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Lille win is 2-1 (8.24%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.55%).

Result

Lille 36.61% (+0.15)
Draw 25.25%
Lens 38.15% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.57%

Goals

Over 1.5 77.9% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 22.1% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.01%
Under 2.5 44.99%
Over 3.5 32.74%
Under 3.5 67.26%
Over 4.5 18.79% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 81.21% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lille 28.41%
Draw 41.68%
Lens 29.91%

Team To Score First

Lille 44.88%
No Goal 5.96%
Lens 49.16%

Corners

Over 8 54.06%
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 34.07%
Over 9 42.3%
Equal 9 11.76%
Under 9 45.94%
Over 10.5 31.62%
Under 10.5 68.38%

Lille Goals

Over 1.5 39.33% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 60.67% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 16.69% (+0.09)
Under 2.5 83.31% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 5.68% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.32% (-0.05)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5 72.56% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 27.44% (+0.11)
Over 1.5 40.51% (-0.13)
Under 1.5 59.49% (+0.13)
Over 2.5 17.19% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 82.81% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 6.19% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 93.81% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Lille 36.61%
Draw 25.26%
Lens 38.15%
Lille
2-1 @ 8.24% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.86% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 5.5% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.96% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.91% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.71% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.43% (+0.05)
Total : 36.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 6.07%
0-0 @ 5.96%
3-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 25.26%
Lens
1-2 @ 8.51% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.93% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.94% (-0.05)
Total : 38.15%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 20, 2025 8.05pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Matias Fernandez Pardo 19' goal
  • Ayyoub Bouaddi 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Aguilar 22'
  • yellowcard Neil El Aynaoui 51'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 8.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Ferdi Petit
  • Adrien Thomasson 13' yellowcard
  • Tom Tony Pouilly 65' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Gradit 86' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 90'+10' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gabriel Gudmundsson 20'
  • yellowcard Thomas Meunier 75'
  • yellowcard Aissa Mandi 89'
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 90'+2'
  • goal Jonathan David 90'+8'
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 90'+9'
  • goal Mohamed Bayo 90'+11'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2024 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Edon Zhegrova 9' goal
  • Benjamin Andre 52' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 60' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 64' yellowcard
  • Nabil Bentaleb 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 35'
  • yellowcard Elye Wahi 64'
  • goal Elye Wahi 78'
  • yellowcard David Costa 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Facundo Medina 17' yellowcard
  • Franck Haise 56' yellowcard
  • Deiver Machado 70' goal
  • Elye Wahi 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Cavaleiro 20'
  • goal Benjamin Andre 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Alexsandro 68'
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 82'
  • yellowcard Leny Yoro 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 4, 2023 4.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jose Fonte 41' goal
  • goal Jonathan David 69'