/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Flillog.png)
-
Ethan Nwaneri
18'
-
Ethan Nwaneri
43'
-
Amine Gouiri
65'
-
Hamed Junior Traoré
75'
-
Hamed Junior Traoré
76'
-
Bilal Nadir
90'
-
90'
-
Thomas Meunier
49'
-
Arnaud Bodart
45'+8'
-
Romain Perraud
78'
-
Olivier Giroud
78'
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Olivier Giroud
86'
-
Chancel Mbemba
90'
-
Chancel Mbemba
90'+1'
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90'+1'
Marseille vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.8%. A draw had a probability of 23.97% and a win for Lille had a probability of 22.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.17%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%) , while for a Lille win it was 0-1 (6.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Marseille
53.8%
Draw
23.97%
▼
(-0.05)
Lille
22.23%
Both Teams to Score:
52.38%
▲
(+0.08)
Goals
Over 1.5
76.68%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 1.5
23.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
53.24%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
46.76%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
30.4%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
69.6%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 4.5
17.9%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
82.1%
▼
(-0.08)
First Half Winner
Marseille
37.15%
Draw
40.65%
Lille
22.2%
Team To Score First
Marseille
57.03%
▲
(+0.03)
No Goal
6.36%
▼
(-0.03)
Lille
36.61%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
50.82%
Equal 8
12.07%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 8
37.11%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 9
39.18%
▼
(-0.04)
Equal 9
11.65%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 9
49.18%
Over 10.5
28.85%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 10.5
71.15%
▲
(+0.08)
Marseille Goals
Over 1.5
51.17%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
48.83%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 2.5
24.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
75.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
10.12%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
89.88%
▼
(-0.05)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5
58.27%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
41.73%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 1.5
25.43%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
74.57%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 2.5
8.4%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 2.5
91.6%
▼
(-0.02)
Over 3.5
2.28%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 3.5
97.72%
▼
(-0.02)
Score analysis
Marseille
53.81%
Draw
23.96%
Lille
22.22%
Marseille
1-0
@
10.81%
▼
(-0.03)
2-1 @ 10.17%
2-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 53.81%
2-1 @ 10.17%
2-0 @ 9.16% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.48% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 53.81%
Draw
1-1
@
11.14%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
0-0 @ 6.36% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
Lille
0-1
@
6.14%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.22%
1-2 @ 5.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.14%
1-3 @ 1.96%
2-3 @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.07% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 22.22%
