Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Vélodrome

Marseille vs Auxerre - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 8.05pm
Toulouse 0 - 1 Marseille
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Igor Paixao

Auxerre

All competitions
Last game
Mar 7, 2026 6.00pm
Auxerre 0 - 0 Strasbourg
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Lassine Sinayoko

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Marseille win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for Auxerre has a probability of 14.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.38%) , while for a Auxerre win it is 0-1 (4.71%).

Result

Marseille 63.5% (-0.07)
Draw 22.2% (+0.01)
Auxerre 14.28% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.99% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.23% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 26.77% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.53% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.47% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 28.38% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 71.62% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.8% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.2% (-0.01)

First Half Winner

Marseille 44.5% (+0.04)
Draw 37.67% (-0.04)
Auxerre 17.83% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Marseille 63.37% (+0.02)
No Goal 7.91% (-0.04)
Auxerre 28.72% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 54.98% (-0.12)
Equal 8 11.88%
Under 8 33.14% (+0.11)
Over 9 43.13% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.85%
Under 9 45.02% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 32.3% (-0.10)
Under 10.5 67.7% (+0.10)

Marseille Goals

Over 1.5 55.44%
Under 1.5 44.56%
Over 2.5 28.63%
Under 2.5 71.37%
Over 3.5 12.23% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.77% (+0.01)

Auxerre Goals

Over 0.5 45.75% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 54.25% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 16.94% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 83.06% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 4.99% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 95.01% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 1.25%
Under 3.5 98.75%

Score analysis

Marseille 63.51%
Draw 22.2%
Auxerre 14.28%
Marseille
1-0 @ 14.14% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 12.53% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.57% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.53% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.46%
Other @ 12.09% (-0.01)
Total : 63.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.38% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.91% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 3.93% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.2%
Auxerre
0-1 @ 4.71%
1-2 @ 3.77%
0-2 @ 1.79% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 14.28%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 1, 2025 8.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 22, 2025 8.05pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
  • Gaetan Perrin 34' goal
  • Ki-Jana Hoever 59' yellowcard
  • Jubal 77' goal
  • Jubal 90'+1' goal
  • yellowcard Derek Cornelius 38'
  • redcard Derek Cornelius 63'
  • yellowcard Geronimo Rulli 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 8, 2024 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Adrien Rabiot 60' yellowcard
  • Mason Greenwood 65' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 66' yellowcard
  • Elye Wahi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Lassine Sinayoko 10'
  • goal Gaetan Perrin 43'
  • goal Hamed Traore 45'
  • yellowcard Donovan Leon 66'
  • yellowcard Theo Bair 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 30, 2023 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Cengiz Under 75' goal
  • Alexis Sanchez 77' goal
  • goal Birama Toure 33'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Sep 3, 2022 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Jubal 39' yellowcard
  • Jean-Marc Furlan 54' yellowcard
  • goal Gerson 8'
  • yellowcard Igor Tudor 42'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 84'
  • yellowcard Amine Harit 90'
Ligue 1
May 13, 2012 4.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT