Ligue 1 Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir

Lorient vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 4.00pm
Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 3 - 2 Le Havre
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lorient win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw has a probability of 28.14% and a win for Paris FC has a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.57%) , while for a Paris FC win it is 0-1 (8.56%).

Result

Lorient 46.76% (+0.25)
Draw 28.14% (+0.02)
Paris FC 25.1% (-0.31)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.18% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.02% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 31.98% (+0.29)
Over 2.5 42.74% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 57.26% (+0.23)
Over 3.5 21.93% (-0.15)
Under 3.5 78.07% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 11.76% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 88.24% (+0.05)

First Half Winner

Lorient 34.29%
Draw 43.76%
Paris FC 21.96%

Team To Score First

Lorient 52.12% (-0.09)
No Goal 10.13% (+0.15)
Paris FC 37.75% (-0.07)

Corners

Over 8 51.8% (-0.06)
Equal 8 11.86%
Under 8 36.33% (+0.04)
Over 9 40.27% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.54%
Under 9 48.2% (+0.06)
Over 10.5 29.95% (-0.04)
Under 10.5 70.05% (+0.04)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 40.33% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 59.67% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 16.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.32% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 5.81% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 94.19% (-0.05)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 57.98% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 42.02% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 23.94% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 76.06% (+0.33)
Over 2.5 7.64% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 92.36% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.97% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 98.03% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Lorient 46.76%
Draw 28.14%
Paris FC 25.1%
Lorient
1-0 @ 13.29% (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.05% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.78% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 4.23% (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (-0.03)
Other @ 5.59% (+0.04)
Total : 46.76%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.57% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 10.13% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 28.14%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 8.56% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.07)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.53% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.75% (-0.05)
Total : 25.1%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Feb 4, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Noah Cadiou 55' goal
  • Noah Doriann Cadiou 55' goal
  • Theo Le Bris 68' yellowcard
  • Tosin Aiyegun 68' yellowcard
  • Théo Le Bris 68' yellowcard
  • Aiyegun Tosin 68' yellowcard
  • Panos Katseris 69' yellowcard
  • Bamo Meite 78' yellowcard
  • Bamo Meïté 78' yellowcard
  • Moustapha Mbow 82' goal
  • Pablo Pagis 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ilan Kebbal 58'
  • yellowcard Rudy Matondo 58'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 58'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 59'
  • yellowcard Jean-Philippe Krasso 74'
  • yellowcard Adama Camara 79'
Ligue 1
Oct 3, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 26
Mar 8, 2025 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Stade Charlety
  • Mathieu Cafaro 12' goal
  • Ilan Kebbal 22' yellowcard
  • Samir Chergui 25' yellowcard
  • Mathieu Cafaro 31' yellowcard
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 35' goal
  • Jean-Philippe Krasso 38' goal
  • Julien Lopez 75' yellowcard
  • goal Sambou Soumano 25'
  • yellowcard Igor Silva 61'
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 71'
  • yellowcard Pablo Pagis 90'+3'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 16
Dec 14, 2024 1.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Julien Ponceau 13' goal
  • Laurent Abergel 44' yellowcard
  • Panos Katseris 64' yellowcard
  • Sambou Soumano 90'+7' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent Marchetti 26'
  • yellowcard Julien Lopez 76'
  • yellowcard Maxime Lopez 76'
  • redcard Vincent Marchetti 84'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 38
May 15, 2020 7.00pm
Stade Sebastien Charlety
Ligue 2
Jul 29, 2019 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jimmy Cabot 11' goal
  • Matthieu Saunier 55' goal
  • Yoane Wissa 77' goal
  • yellowcard Cyril Mandouki 43'
  • yellowcard Samuel Yohou 45'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Pitroipa 51'
  • redcard Samuel Yohou 61'