Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.54%. A win for Metz had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (9.26%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.