Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2026 4.15pm
Stade Saint-Symphorien

Metz vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Metz

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 8.05pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Metz
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Koffi Kouao

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 6.00pm
Paris FC 4 - 1 Monaco
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris FC win with a probability of 41.44%. A win for Metz has a probability of 30.58% and a draw has a probability of 27.99%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris FC win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest Metz win is 1-0 (9.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.39%).

Result

Metz 30.58% (-0.69)
Draw 27.99% (-0.42)
Paris FC 41.44% (+1.09)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.99% (+1.86)

Goals

Over 1.5 68.31% (+0.97)
Under 1.5 31.69% (-0.97)
Over 2.5 43.26% (+1.22)
Under 2.5 56.74% (-1.22)
Over 3.5 22.55% (+0.84)
Under 3.5 77.45% (-0.85)
Over 4.5 11.67% (+0.42)
Under 4.5 88.33% (-0.41)

First Half Winner

Metz 28.94% (+1.40)
Draw 43.03% (-0.70)
Paris FC 28.02% (-0.70)

Team To Score First

Metz 42.88% (+0.04)
No Goal 10.09% (-0.31)
Paris FC 47.03% (+0.28)

Corners

Over 8 54.63% (+1.07)
Equal 8 11.69% (-0.14)
Under 8 33.68% (-0.93)
Over 9 43.01% (+1.09)
Equal 9 11.62% (-0.05)
Under 9 45.37% (-1.07)
Over 10.5 32.41% (+1.05)
Under 10.5 67.59% (-1.05)

Metz Goals

Over 1.5 28.87% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 71.13% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 9.99% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 90.01% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 3.05% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 96.95% (+0.05)

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 70.63% (+0.93)
Under 0.5 29.37% (-0.92)
Over 1.5 36.35% (+1.33)
Under 1.5 63.65% (-1.33)
Over 2.5 13.87% (+0.95)
Under 2.5 86.13% (-0.96)
Over 3.5 4.14% (+0.22)
Under 3.5 95.86% (-0.22)

Score analysis

Metz 30.57%
Draw 27.99%
Paris FC 41.44%
Metz
1-0 @ 9.31% (-0.46)
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 5.14% (-0.15)
3-1 @ 2.62% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 1.86% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.97% (+0.03)
Total : 30.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.12)
0-0 @ 10.09% (-0.31)
2-2 @ 4.66% (+0.11)
Other @ 0.08% (-0.07)
Total : 27.99%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 12.29% (-0.25)
1-2 @ 8.6% (+0.24)
0-2 @ 7.53% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 3.59% (+0.34)
0-3 @ 3.27% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.1% (+0.23)
Other @ 4.06% (+0.28)
Total : 41.44%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Aug 31, 2025 4.15pm
3
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 2 Gameweek 19
Jan 18, 2025 1.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien
  • Pape Diallo 17' goal
  • Matthieu Udol 30' yellowcard
  • Sadibou Sane 50' yellowcard
  • Idrissa Gueye 55' goal
  • Pape Diallo 71' goal
  • Gauthier Hein 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Jean-Philippe Krasso 28'
  • yellowcard Thibault De Smet 40'
  • yellowcard Mathys Tourraine 90'+4'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 4
Sep 14, 2024 1.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stade Charlety
  • Nouha Dicko 31' goal
  • Mathys Tourraine 76' yellowcard
  • goal Cheikh Sabaly 13'
  • goal Matthieu Udol 25'
  • yellowcard Jessy Deminguet 30'
  • yellowcard Sadibou Sane 38'
  • yellowcard Matthieu Udol 71'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 33
Apr 29, 2023 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Georges Mikautadze 18' goal
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 13'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2022 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Morgan Guilavogui 28' goal
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 11'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 23'
  • goal Lamine Gueye 63'
  • goal Georges Mikautadze 82'
Ligue 2 Gameweek 26
Feb 22, 2019 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Saint-Symphorien (Longeville-lès-Metz)
  • Habib Diallo 19' goal
  • Thomas Delaine 45' yellowcard
  • Habib Diallo 57' goal
  • yellowcard Vincent De Marconnay 15'
  • yellowcard Ogou Akichi 39'
  • yellowcard Lalaina Nomenjanahary 44'